GTA 6 could be the most important thing "to ever release in the industry, so no pressure," reliable analyst predicts

GTA 6 trailer screenshots
(Image credit: Rockstar Games)

It's still months before we can even hope to have GTA 6 in our hands, but there's no doubt that it's one of, if not the most anticipated game on the horizon. However, its launch doesn't just have a lot riding on it because of its eager fanbase, as one games industry analyst predicts that "there's probably never been a more important thing to ever release in the industry."

This prediction comes from Circana's Mat Piscatella, who spoke about his expectations surrounding the amount that will be spent on video games by consumers this year and beyond in an interview with GamesIndustry.biz. He believes that 2024 is going to be a "tough" and potentially slightly "painful" year, pointing to uncertainty regarding this year's lineup of games. However, he's a lot more optimistic about 2025, which we already know has a tasty selection of heavy hitters including Death Stranding 2: On the Beach, Pokemon Legends: Z-A, and, of course, GTA 6.

"If you look towards 2025, if interest rates come down and money becomes a little bit more free-flowing to devs and pubs, we should get a boost in the development cycle again," Piscatella explains. "We're going to get a renewed batch of interest with GTA 6 in particular. There's probably never been a more important thing to ever release in the industry, so no pressure."

This isn't the first time that Piscatella has placed so much importance on GTA 6 when it comes to its impact on the video game market. Last month, he said that amongst the common aim for game developers and publishers alike to "survive 2024," he believes that the "market's gotta get to GTA 6 and hope." 

That's not to say that there's nothing exciting releasing in 2024, however. We've already seen some pretty huge hits in the form of Helldivers 2, Persona 3 Reload, and Final Fantasy 7 Rebirth. Still to come, we've got Indiana Jones and the Great Circle, Star Wars Outlaws, and Dragon's Dogma 2, just to name a few. 

At the time of writing, it's still not been confirmed exactly when in 2025 we can expect GTA 6 to launch – we've still only seen one trailer for it, after all. Considering how many views that trailer managed to rack up in such a short amount of time though, there's little doubt that it's going to be huge, so let's just hope that it can meet expectations. 

Take a look at our handy roundup of new games launching in 2024 and beyond to see what's around the corner. 

Catherine Lewis
News Writer

I'm one of GamesRadar+'s news writers, who works alongside the rest of the news team to deliver cool gaming stories that we love. After spending more hours than I can count filling The University of Sheffield's student newspaper with Pokemon and indie game content, and picking up a degree in Journalism Studies, I started my career at GAMINGbible where I worked as a journalist for over a year and a half. I then became TechRadar Gaming's news writer, where I sourced stories and wrote about all sorts of intriguing topics. In my spare time, you're sure to find me on my Nintendo Switch or PS5 playing through story-driven RPGs like Xenoblade Chronicles and Persona 5 Royal, nuzlocking old Pokemon games, or going for a Victory Royale in Fortnite.

Read more
A screenshot of protagonist Lucia from GTA 6
GTA 6 is "definitely gonna be a big economic boost for the games industry" that'll help "bring a lot more people back into the ecosystem," says Day of the Devs' lead curator
GTA 6 reveal trailer screenshot showing a young blonde woman standing near a sunny rooftop pool, wearing a white and gold bikini
GTA 6 will double GTA 5 and make $3.2 billion in its first year, analysts say – "The pent-up demand is greater than anything we’ve seen before”
GTA 6 trailer screenshots showing lucia in an interview room
"GTA 6 is basically a huge meteor, and we will just stay clear of the blast zone": Publishers are in a frenzy over when to release their games to avoid Rockstar
GTA 6: A man and a woman sitting on a car in the poster for Grand Theft Auto 6.
GTA 6: Everything we know so far
GTA 6
Take-Two boss is "not concerned" about falling console sales because major 2025 games like GTA 6 will help convince more people to buy a PS5 or Xbox Series X
GTA 6 reveal trailer screenshot showing a young blonde woman standing near a sunny rooftop pool, wearing a white and gold bikini
GTA 6 and the Nintendo Switch 2 could help the video game market "get back on a growth trajectory" if they both release in 2025, says analyst
Latest in Action
Yasuke and Naoe ready to fight on the Assassin's Creed Shadows On The Radar thumbnail
On The Radar: Assassin's Creed Shadows coverage hub
Assassin's Creed Shadows Naoe assassinating target with Tanto skill
Assassin's Creed Shadows' first title update is a hotfix with three lines of patch notes and a download size up to 9GB
Assassin's Creed Shadows Nishinomiya Shrine
All Nishinomiya Shrine locations in Assassin's Creed Shadows
Assassin's Creed Shadows riddles Naoe answers
All Assassin's Creed Shadows riddle answers for NPC encounters
GTA 6 trailer screenshots showing lucia in an interview room
"GTA 6 is basically a huge meteor, and we will just stay clear of the blast zone": Publishers are in a frenzy over when to release their games to avoid Rockstar
Assassin's Creed Shadows
Assassin's Creed Shadows has been the series' best launch since Valhalla, but that was "a perfect storm we may never see again," says Ubisoft
Latest in News
Lunar Remastered Collection
"Will today’s players still enjoy a game from 30 years ago?": JRPG icon Kei Shigema says he was thrilled to see Lunar getting a remaster even after all this time
Nick Offerman as Bill and Murray Bartlett as Frank in The Last of Us episode 3
The Last of Us season 2 showrunners tease a "gorgeous" episode akin to season 1’s Emmy-nominated Bill and Frank story: "Just you wait"
The Witcher 4 screenshot with Ciri using sword and sorcery to fight an ancient monster
CD Projekt boss says "cutting-edge single-player games" – you know, like The Witcher 4 and Cyberpunk 2 – will "continue to enjoy great popularity" despite industry shifts
Cyberpunk 2077
Despite releasing exactly zero new games, CD Projekt bagged $120 million in profit for 2024 – the Witcher and Cyberpunk studio's third-best result ever
Muse
Daredevil: Born Again midseason trailer teases Matt Murdock’s violent fight with Muse, including a gory scene straight from the comics
Batman looking over the city during Batman: Arkham City, one of the best PS3 games.
The PS2 Batman Begins game was considered such a "disaster" that Christopher Nolan turned down a Dark Knight-inspired game